The autumn San Francisco poll is beginning to form up, and it’s going to be stuffed with bold measures, beginning with a tax on vacant flats. The supporters of the measure have turned in what seems to be excess of the required signatures, and so they’ve advised me that getting folks to signal was simple: No person likes the concept of landlords holding flats off the market throughout a housing scarcity.
Town’s Funds and Legislative Analyst reported this spring that greater than 40,000 rental models—about ten % of the town’s housing inventory—are vacant.
That’s half the quantity of housing that the state desires to see in-built San Francisco within the subsequent few years and it’s much more housing that each one the upzoning and streamlining that the Yimbs need will seemingly produce.
Think about what would occur if even half of these vacant flats got here onto the rental market. At a time when quite a lot of younger, high-income individuals are fleeing San Francisco as a result of they’ll work remotely from someplace else, we would really see costs come down.
Bear in mind: That is present housing, not new housing; the house owners already paid for it. It’s sitting empty as a result of, in some instances, the house owners simply wish to maintain it as an funding, or as a result of it’s a pied a terre for somebody very wealthy, or the owner thinks perhaps rents will go up sooner or later.
At a sure level, it’s going to be extra sensible to lease the place out than to pay an escalating tax. And if the very wealthy and the speculators wish to hold the locations vacant, then the cash the measure would elevate will pay for extra reasonably priced housing.
I’m wondering who’s going to oppose this, and what sort of arguments they’ll make. (And I’m wondering how vigorously the Yimby teams will marketing campaign for it.)
Then there’s Golden Gate Park and the Nice Freeway.
The Nice Freeway was closed in the course of the top of the Covid pandemic to offer extra outside house, and it’s nonetheless closed to automobiles on weekends. Some wish to hold that closure, and even shut it to automobiles day-after-day. (I’m undecided how lengthy automobiles will be capable to proceed utilizing that highway, since rising sea ranges are going to threaten it pretty quickly, significantly the world between Sloat and Skyline.)
However individuals who dwell close to the freeway say that individuals are nonetheless driving north and south; they’re simply utilizing neighborhood streets, including to congestion.
And when the supes closed JFK Drive in Golden Gate Park to automobiles, which is immensely common to bikers, skaters, and individuals who dwell close to the park, some say that transfer was discriminates in opposition to folks from the Southeast a part of the town and other people with mobility points.
Each side are organized, have sources, and are fairly dug in. There is no such thing as a simple compromise.
So this can go to the voters. One measure, sponsored by former police captain Richard Corriea and disability-rights activist Howard Chabner, would reopen the Nice Freeway and restrict JFK closures to Sundays, holidays, and Saturday in the course of the summer season months. One other, by Sups. Hillary Ronen, Myrna Melgar, Rafael Mandelman, and Matt Dorsey, would affirm the JFK closures.
If that one will get extra votes than the opposite, then JFK Drive would stay closed to automobiles.
The campaigns will likely be heated. Amongst different issues, opponents of re-opening the Nice Freeway level out that the metropolis plans to shut the Nice Freeway Extension in 2023 anyway as a part of a climate-resilience plan.
On the identical time, and considerably associated, Mayor London Breed desires to dissolve the authority that oversees the underground storage in Golden Gate Park and switch the property over the Rec-Park—with the categorical provision that the town can set parking charges.
One of many complaints in regards to the highway closures is that individuals who have to drive to the park must pay exorbitant charges, like $34 a day— to park in that storage. If the town can subsidize the costs for some of us, like folks with mobility points and other people from some components of the town, the highway closure may not be as large a deal.
The mayor additionally desires to considerably modify and weaken the foundations on behested funds—donations to charities made on the request of elected officers or division heads—that the supes have handed and have been authorised on the June poll. As a result of the mayor can put any ordinance in entrance of the voters with only a signature, that may even be in entrance of the November citizens.
The supes and the Yimbys, as we’ve reported, have competing reasonably priced housing measures headed for the poll.
And there’s a proposal to tax e-commerce giants to fund a assured earnings program for low-income residents and assist for small companies in San Francisco. Polling means that’s highly regarded; historical past means that large enterprise will spend cash to oppose it.
And there’s extra. The Guidelines Committee is assembly Wednesday/6 to think about, finalize, and ship to the complete board a sequence of poll measures together with a measure that would shift the mayor’s race to presidential election years, one that will enable the town to forfeit pensions for public staff convicted of significant crimes, and a student-success fund that’s form of a set-aside.
And, after all, the entire even-numbered supervisor districts are on the poll. Up to now, no person is aware of what’s going to occur in D2 if the mayor appoints Catherine Stefani as the subsequent DA. Sup. Gordon Mar has a troublesome re-election in D4. There’s a extremely contentious race in D6. Up to now, no person severe is difficult Sup. Rafael Mandelman in D8 or Sup. Shamann Walton in D10.
However the consequence of D4 and D6 might have main implications for the balanced of energy on the board.
Extra to return on all of this because the scenario develops.